In today's housing market, confidence is everything. Whether you're buying or selling, your decisions are shaped by interest rates, market sentiment, and upcoming policy changes.
This month, we're seeing subtle but important shifts in the mortgage landscape and buyer behaviour and with potential tax reforms being hinted at, now is the time to understand where the market’s heading, and what it means for your next move.
Here’s what the latest data says and how to use it to your advantage.
📈 Where Mortgage Rates Stand Right Now
- The average 2-year fixed mortgage rate is currently around 4.52% (HomeOwners Alliance).
- Five-year fixed rates are sitting in the mid-4% range for most buyers (Home Group Financial).
- Around 1.3 million UK homeowners are due to remortgage in 2025, many coming off older deals fixed at under 2% (Rettie & Co).
- Some lenders are beginning to offer sub-4% deals, though typically only to low loan-to-value (LTV) buyers or on green mortgages (Select Property).
Takeaway: The cost of borrowing has settled for now, but it remains higher than many were used to pre-2022. Acting during these “rate plateaus” can be a smart move before any further fluctuations.
📊 House Price & Demand Trends This Month
- Average UK house prices rose 1.4% year-on-year in August, bringing the average property value to £271,000 (Mortgage Solutions).
- However, demand for homes over £500,000 is softening, largely due to mortgage affordability pressure and ongoing tax reform speculation (The Times).
- Listings for £1m+ homes are down 9%, with demand down 11%, suggesting higher-value movers are delaying decisions until after the autumn budget (MPA Magazine).
- According to The Negotiator’s latest column, a “subdued end to 2025” is expected without significant movement from the Bank of England or fiscal clarity from the Chancellor (The Negotiator).
💬 What Buyers Should Do in This Market
If you’re buying this year, especially before Christmas, this market offers opportunity if you’re prepared:
- Secure your borrowing early
- Lock in a deal now if you find one under 4.5% with favourable terms. Most lenders will allow you to secure rates up to 6 months ahead of completion.
- Look for value, not hype
- Target homes with good fundamentals: location, layout, energy performance, even if they need light updating.
- Be cautious at higher price points
- If you're buying over £500k–£1m, factor in the potential impact of any new property taxes being hinted at in government briefings (Financial Times).
- Line everything up
- Have your mortgage in principle, solicitor, and agent support ready to go. Sellers respond well to well-organised buyers.
🧮 What Sellers Must Consider
For sellers, this isn’t a market to test the waters. You need:
- Accurate pricing based on today’s reality, not last year’s peaks
- Marketing that leads: video tours, quality imagery, social campaigns
- Certainty tools like reservation agreements to build trust and lock in buyers
- A clear completion strategy if you’re also buying, timing is everything
Sellers in the £600k+ bracket should especially be aware of demand softening; price and market proactively while competition is low.
🧠 Avenue Advice for Movers
At The Avenue, we’re helping clients across the UK make confident decisions in a cautious market by:
- Giving honest, data-led valuations
- Preparing homes for launch with strategy (not just speed)
- Guiding clients through mortgage changes and timelines
- Using reservation agreements to reduce fall-through risks
🔗 Take Your Next Step
FAQs
❓ Will mortgage rates fall before 2026?
Possibly, but only if inflation cools further and the Bank of England feels confident. Most economists now expect small, cautious cuts rather than a return to ultra-low rates.
❓ Are house prices falling in the UK?
Nationally, prices are stabilising. Some areas and price bands are seeing minor drops, while others remain resilient depending on demand and affordability.
❓ Should I wait until after the Autumn Budget?
If you're in the higher-value bracket (£500k+), it may be worth considering but smart pricing and marketing now can still secure a strong result before any changes land.